Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	South Alabama Jaguars		Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns

	1	2
	1.54	2.55
	1.54	2.41
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.57	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	2.46 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Alabama Jaguars
61.7%

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 10)
06:55, Sampson S. (Touchdown),
06:55, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
13:36, Sterner T. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 14)
05:22, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
05:22, Little D. (Extra Point),
12:51, Perry Z. (Touchdown),
12:51, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
14:49, Sampson S. (Touchdown),
14:49, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
03:02, Winfield L. (Touchdown),
03:02, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
08:06, Davenport B. (Touchdown),
08:06, Little D. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (8 - 0)
03:01, Scott J. (Touchdown),
03:01, Little D. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Alabama won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Louisiana-Lafayette may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

South Alabama will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, South Alabama won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 265:314. (average 22.1:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, South Alabama won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 141:142. (average 23.5:23.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Alabama Jaguars football
NCAA College Football
23.10.25	Georgia State Panthers - South Alabama Jaguars	31:38 ✺
14.10.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	14:15 ✺
04.10.25	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	31:24 OT ✺
27.09.25	North Texas Mean Green - South Alabama Jaguars	36:22 ✺
20.09.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	20:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns football
NCAA College Football
25.10.25	Troy Trojans - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	35:23 ✺
18.10.25	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	10:22 ✺
11.10.25	James Madison Dukes - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	24:14 ✺
27.09.25	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Marshall Thundering Herd	54:51 OT ✺
20.09.25	Eastern Michigan Eagles - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
16.11.24	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - South Alabama Jaguars	22:24
28.10.23	South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	20:33
01.10.22	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - South Alabama Jaguars	17:20
02.10.21	South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	18:20
14.11.20	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - South Alabama Jaguars	38:10
16.11.19	South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	27:37
17.11.18	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - South Alabama Jaguars	48:38

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